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Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. The offense added Starling Marte and Mark Canha to a lineup that was already strong with Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso in the infield and Brandon Nimmo in the outfield. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. Many thought they'd be that bad last year and they won 74 games. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. They could match that in 2022. The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. 9:55 am ET, MLB rumors: Dodgers, Yankees seek depth after injuries, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to miss WBC with knee injury, Kik Hernndez recounts on-field bathroom accident, Phillies top prospect Andrew Painter has tender elbow, Max Scherzer fools hitter with new pitch clock rules, Report: Padres looking to extend Juan Soto, Josh Hader, MLB win totals for every team, best bets on over-unders, Phillies top prospect Painter has elbow tenderness, Report: Padres looking to extend Soto, Hader, Report: Mets to use six-man rotation at times in 2023, Dodgers SS Gavin Lux tears ACL, will miss entire season. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. The fourth and final 2022-23 regular-season meeting in the Battle of Florida is set for Tuesday as the Florida Panthers head to Tampa to take on the Lightning and their No.1 home offense. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. For now, with everyone healthy, this looks like a Wild Card team that doesnt reach the ALDS. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. O/U wins: 91.5. The Chicago White Sox can start looking at designs for their 2022 AL Central champions shirts and hats. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. After all, the Friars signed Xander Bogaerts, will be getting back Fernando Tatis Jr. from injury/suspension and will benefit from having Juan Soto and Josh Hader for a full season after acquiring both at the 2022 Trade Deadline. 2 spot. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. KC Kansas City Royals. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. Nov. 4, 2022. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. MLB Spring Training Standings 2023. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. This is tough. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. The model isn't too favorable on them jumping right back into contention in 2022. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. 0:00. The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. ET (ESPN). Maybe. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. And I'll mention again that the Blue Jays were a wrecking crew in Rogers Centre after they went 22-22 in "home" games in Buffalo and Dunedin last year. "Ok . In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. CLE Cleveland Guardians. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. So without further ado, we present to you seven bold predictions for the 2022 MLB season. They'll have thump. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. 2. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. However, pitching is a major concern. They've got that again in 2022. Max Scherzer and Justin . since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. We also like Clevelands pitching. That is, we'll list the win total for the 2022 season from Caesars Sportsbook and pick whether the team will win more (the "over") or fewer (the "under") games. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. At least they have one of the best MLB lineups. MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. Do I sound hopeful? The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. The 2022 MLB season is finally here. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. FanGraphs Membership. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? Everyone should. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. 8,128 plate appearances. Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. TheBrewers Way? They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. 3 - New York Mets. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. Let's start things off with a prediction about one of my favorite players to target in fantasy baseball drafts. Design and development by Jay Boice. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. The biggest question mark for Los Angeles is undoubtedly in its rotation, where Walker Buehler will be the unquestioned ace after Scherzer left. They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. There were three last season. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted I just feel like they'll need a miracle this season. Weak offense. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The moves bythe Marlinsmight not have been as splashy as the Mets or Phillies, but don't sleep on the additions they made this offseason. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson shined in their rookie seasons, and are expected to continue to improve, and a healthy Nick Senzel could help him live up to his top prospect billing. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . As part of our year-round MLB coverage, we'll provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors . Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Unfortunately, the Jacob deGrom injury is a massive blow. Bellinger is coming off of a dreadful 2021 campaign that saw . Texans spent heavily on Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, adding two All-Star hitters to the lineup. Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. 7. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. But there was actually a lot that went wrong with the Padres' pitching staff last season and they were still 67-49 through Aug. 10, a pace of 94 wins, before melting down the rest of the way. Edward Sutelan is a content producer at The Sporting News. Here's what experts think. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. . Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. October 6th, 2022. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. The GB column is an abbreviation for Games Back and it shows how far teams are behind the leader of the division or put simply, first place. Close. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . As for the Royals, 2022 is centered Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. With Freddie Freeman joining the mix, the Dodgers are undoubtedly the best team in MLB. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. All Rights Reserved. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. Are the Blue Jays even with the Yankees, or way behind? Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. You can do it! Dropping $500 million on a new middle infield (Corey Seager and Marcus Semien)got plenty of attention for the Rangers An ongoing clearance sale has the Athletics expected to finish last,but Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas give Oakland a little bit of upward mobility if they don't get shipped off, too.